Re: Bravo to the National Hurricane Center !!
Posted by jimw on 8/23/2009, 7:59 pm
Message modified by board administrator on 8/23/2009, 8:04 pm
http://www.hurricanecity.com/models/billmodels.htm
Pay attention to the white line NHC, it is not as simple as you make it out to be. For example lets say the forecast called for a hit in the mid atlantic states near Norfolk & Bastardi was insisting it was coming to Long Island. Bastardi gets on Fox news which they have a contract with & says NHC is wrong & we feel this is coming to Long Isl . The fox news viewers in VA decide I am not leaving I trust Fox News it hits dead on 24 hrs later. (lives are not at stake?) If Bastardi had a good track record you would have a valid point but he doesnt & that does not matter to you. Bastardi had it near the tip of Cape Cod, it passed over 200 miles away. He forecast's for ratings ,not accuracy. Take the 19th through 21st the white line is not following the best models, so as you say (NHC was just following the models).
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Bravo to the National Hurricane Center !! - HSNN4, 8/22/2009, 9:26 pm
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