The storm developed rather robustly on Saturday and seemed to stay far enough off of the land mass to extract its fuel, warm water. The 4 am National Hurricane Center forecast discussion has some omnious wording by my colleague Eric Blake. He wrote, "There's a notable risk of rapid intensification while the system moves across the record warm eastern and northeastern Gulf of Mexico....The new NHC forecast is raised from the previous one, near or above the model consensus, and could be too low." The storm will meander in the same area most of Sunday in part due to a Franklin in the Atlantic affecting the steering currents. It will eventually start to lift northward. Black went on to write, "I'm reluctant to make any big changes to the forecast until we get more in-situ data, but the upward overnight model trend certainly bears watching."