2am EDT Saturday: 90% chance of development over the next week
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 8/26/2023, 2:37 am
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Aug 26 2023
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Franklin, located a couple of hundred miles east of the Turks and Caicos Islands.
1. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Eastern Gulf of Mexico (AL93): Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization in association with an area of low pressure over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week while it moves generally northward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, western Cuba, and Florida should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
2. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development over the weekend, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves generally northwestward over the central subtropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa early next week. Some slow development of this system is possible during the latter part of next week while the system moves westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Bucci
I updated the main thread to say the NOAA GI-V mission is possible Sunday, not Saturday. Saturday's possible mission is around Franklin. |
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In this thread:
Invest 93L, approaching the Gulf, has a high chance of development -
Chris in Tampa,
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- Re: Invest 93L, approaching the Gulf, has a high chance of development - stevemc12, 8/27/2023, 8:42 am
- Now Tropical Depression Ten - tvsteve, 8/26/2023, 7:57 pm
- 2am EDT Saturday: 90% chance of development over the next week - Chris in Tampa, 8/26/2023, 2:37 am
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