CaneTalk: Re: Latest 500mb SREF: 8/20 03Z

Re: Latest 500mb SREF: 8/20 03Z

Posted by Cape_Fear_NC on 8/20/2009, 8:18 am

I'm going to use links instead of pics so the user will have to click them back and forth to see the differences (which will be obvious.)

First is the 500mb 00Z GFS 78 hours out:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_500_078m.gif

Then the 500mb 06Z GFS 72 hours out (same effective time, just a later run.)

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/06/images/gfs_500_072m.gif

You can clearly see the change in the trough (more amplified; less effective at the coast) and Bill's closer position to the coast.

We'll see more changes in future models because as the SPC said - this stuff is still evolving. But whatever the case, I have every confidence, the Carolinas are 100% safe, lol. (As for points north, y'all are on your own!)

Tim in NC

In this thread:

06Z GFS 500MB Major Change - Cape_Fear_NC, 8/20/2009, 6:30 am

8/20 00Z GFS Ensembles - JAC, 8/20/2009, 8:19 am
- 8/20 06Z GFS Ensembles - JAC, 8/20/2009, 10:41 am
  - The farthest east run - JAC, 8/20/2009, 10:53 am
  - The farthest west run - JAC, 8/20/2009, 10:51 am
    - Re: The farthest west run - wfsouza, 8/20/2009, 11:05 am
      - Re: The farthest west run - JAC, 8/20/2009, 11:08 am
8/20 00Z CMC - JAC, 8/20/2009, 8:16 am
- Re: 8/20 00Z CMC - BobbiStorm, 8/20/2009, 8:42 am
  - Re: 8/20 00Z CMC - JAC, 8/20/2009, 8:56 am
Trough is digging deep --> bowing MCS in SE MO - JAC, 8/20/2009, 8:01 am
- Current Surface & 500mb Heights - JAC, 8/20/2009, 8:10 am
  - how does this affect the diving upper level low off the coast - BobbiStorm, 8/20/2009, 8:45 am
    - Strong enough now to generate a cutoff low. - JAC, 8/20/2009, 9:13 am
      - Re: Strong enough now to generate a cutoff low. - BobbiStorm, 8/20/2009, 9:16 am
SPC Discussion - JAC, 8/20/2009, 7:48 am
- Latest 500mb SREF: 8/20 03Z - JAC, 8/20/2009, 7:55 am
  - Re: Latest 500mb SREF: 8/20 03Z - Cape_Fear_NC, 8/20/2009, 8:18 am
    - Re: Latest 500mb SREF: 8/20 03Z - BobbiStorm, 8/20/2009, 8:47 am
    - Re: Latest 500mb SREF: 8/20 03Z - JAC, 8/20/2009, 8:23 am
0500 closer to New England...? - aquaRN, 8/20/2009, 7:04 am
- Tim this is what I was observing last night on loops - jack ruby, 8/20/2009, 7:13 am
  - Sat loop---See high pressure nestled along mid-Atlantic - jack ruby, 8/20/2009, 7:16 am
    - Re: Sat loop---See high pressure nestled along mid-Atlantic - Cape_Fear_NC, 8/20/2009, 7:59 am
      - Re: Sat loop---See high pressure nestled along mid-Atlantic - BobbiStorm, 8/20/2009, 8:51 am
        Re: Sat loop---See high pressure nestled along mid-Atlantic - Cape_Fear_NC, 8/20/2009, 9:22 am

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