TC Formation Alert Posted at NRL
Posted by JAC on 10/29/2010, 9:50 am


SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
WTNT21 KNGU 291200
RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.5N 54.0W TO 9.2N 57.7W WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY IS-
SUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
2. CURRENT MODEL GUIDANCE IS DEPICTING INTENSIFICATION OF A LOW
SITUATED APPROXIMATELY 600 MILES ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS, MOVING
WEST-NORTHWEST AT APPROXIMATELY 15-20 KTS. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING
WEST UNDER AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND LOW LEVELS OF WIND SHEAR WHICH,
ALONG WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, WILL HELP TO ENHANCE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS TROPICAL FEATURE.
3. REMARKS: THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO A WARNING OR
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE BY 301200Z.//


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Invest 91L Larger Than GOM - Target, 10/29/2010, 12:28 am
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