CaneTalk: Re: JAC?

Re: JAC?

Posted by JAC on 10/25/2010, 9:28 pm

Thanks for asking - sorry for the delayed response - I just got in.

CONUS can be very grateful that we were spared this year, given the exceedingly high water temperatures.

I am a bit surprised we didn't really see a very potent storm spin up in the west Carib.

I would say that given about 4 weeks left in the season, an excellent chance that no purely tropical system will make landfall.

GOM is cooling off fast now and fronts are progressively digging deeper.

That is not to say a hybrid storm can not hit CONUS.

In fact, the east coast could see some strong nor'easters in the coming months.

This is based on the fact the Gulf Stream is very warm.

Could be another round of very heavy blizzards for the east.

In this thread:

Euro & GFS have a bead on a low-riding CV wave --> spins up in Carib mid next week - JAC, 10/25/2010, 7:00 am

Heating Up - Check 40W - JAC, 10/27/2010, 6:11 am
- Strong CAPE - JAC, 10/27/2010, 6:51 am
- Latest Scat - JAC, 10/27/2010, 6:37 am
  - Re: Latest Scat - Target, 10/27/2010, 9:35 am
    - How about a 91L and a 92L? - Target, 10/27/2010, 10:21 am
      - 27N41W, 25N55W, and 10N42W - Target, 10/27/2010, 10:32 am
        Re: 27N41W, 25N55W, and 10N42W - JAC, 10/27/2010, 11:59 am
        27N41W, 25N55W, and 10N42W - Target, 10/27/2010, 9:45 pm
        91L looking good - JAC, 10/27/2010, 9:52 pm
        HWRF: Hurricane by Lesser Antilles - Target, 10/28/2010, 10:07 am
        Re: HWRF: Hurricane by Lesser Antilles - JAC, 10/28/2010, 10:14 am
        Re: HWRF: Hurricane by Lesser Antilles - Target, 10/28/2010, 10:25 am
- FIS pretty much like yesterday - JAC, 10/27/2010, 6:22 am
- CMC has it initialized and running the SA Coast - JAC, 10/27/2010, 6:17 am
  - Same deal for Euro - JAC, 10/27/2010, 6:20 am
10/26 00Z Runs: CMC & FIS - JAC, 10/26/2010, 7:46 am
- 10N40W (Wave!) - Target, 10/26/2010, 9:38 am
JAC? - jotay3, 10/25/2010, 5:19 pm
- Re: JAC? - JAC, 10/25/2010, 9:28 pm
12Z CMC beginning to nibble on it early - JAC, 10/25/2010, 2:37 pm
- Riding the Coast - JAC, 10/25/2010, 2:38 pm
06Z GFS Spins up Saturday - JAC, 10/25/2010, 12:21 pm
The low roll - JAC, 10/25/2010, 12:09 pm
- Good convection and moisture - JAC, 10/25/2010, 12:12 pm
  - Re: Good convection and moisture - freesong, 10/25/2010, 11:45 pm
for all of u - BobbiStorm, 10/25/2010, 11:23 am
- Re: for all of u - JAC, 10/25/2010, 11:46 am
Re: Euro & GFS have a bead on a low-riding CV wave --> spins up in Carib mid next week - BobbiStorm, 10/25/2010, 10:37 am
FIM very aggressive 144 hrs out - JAC, 10/25/2010, 7:30 am
- 200 Hrs Out - JAC, 10/25/2010, 7:37 am
  - Will be interesting to see how this model pans out - JAC, 10/25/2010, 7:49 am
    - Re: Will be interesting to see how this model pans out - AlligatorPointer, 10/25/2010, 6:14 pm
Dynamic Tropopause 180 Hrs Out - JAC, 10/25/2010, 7:07 am

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