Or it stays at 30% at 2AM EDT on 10/19
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 10/19/2010, 1:49 am
I thought it would at least be 50%. The center is displaced some from the heaviest convection, but I think there is at least a 50/50 chance it will become a depression in the next 48 hours.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT TUE OCT 19 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE HONDURAS- NICARAGUA BORDER. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS DISTURBANCE BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$ FORECASTER PASCH |
61
In this thread:
invest 99L -
jimw,
10/16/2010, 9:21 pm- Recon Report: NHC ups to 70% - JAC, 10/19/2010, 4:57 pm
- Not bad on VIS 17N 83W - JAC, 10/19/2010, 12:10 pm
- Globals spin up in the next day or two - JAC, 10/19/2010, 6:46 am
- Circulation working its way to the surface - JAC, 10/19/2010, 6:17 am
- Re: invest 99L - hanna, 10/17/2010, 12:58 pm
- HWRF Suggests Cat 2 by Friday - Target, 10/17/2010, 6:15 pm
- 13N82W (Invest 99L) Pics - Target, 10/17/2010, 9:24 pm
- Re: HWRF Suggests Cat 2 by Friday - Skip Wiley, 10/17/2010, 8:37 pm
- Re: HWRF Suggests Cat 2 by Friday - Target, 10/17/2010, 9:49 pm
- Funktop Green Spot Watch Tonight... - Target, 10/18/2010, 9:34 am
- i see it - BobbiStorm, 10/18/2010, 12:10 pm
- GFDL did o so good with Paula - jotay3, 10/18/2010, 4:50 pm
- Latest GFDL: Major Hurricane By Friday (and Green Spots!) - Target, 10/18/2010, 7:28 pm
- Re: Latest GFDL: Major Hurricane By Friday (and Green Spots!) - BobbiStorm, 10/18/2010, 8:53 pm
- Re: Latest GFDL: Major Hurricane By Friday (and Green Spots!) - Target, 10/18/2010, 9:13 pm
- Re: Latest GFDL: Major Hurricane By Friday (and Green Spots!) - Target, 10/18/2010, 9:46 pm
- Re: Latest GFDL: Major Hurricane By Friday (and Green Spots!) - Stormexpert2010, 10/18/2010, 9:30 pm
- Richard at 30% by NHC - Target, 10/18/2010, 10:25 pm
- Re: Richard at 30% by NHC - Stormexpert2010, 10/18/2010, 10:55 pm
- 40? - BobbiStorm, 10/18/2010, 11:55 pm
- Re: 40? - Chris in Tampa, 10/19/2010, 12:09 am
- Re: 40? - hanna, 10/19/2010, 12:36 am
- Or it stays at 30% at 2AM EDT on 10/19 - Chris in Tampa, 10/19/2010, 1:49 am
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.