Michael Lowry @MichaelRLowry
about 9 hours ago
For only the third time on record (since 1851), 3 Atlantic tropical cyclones formed over 24 short hours (TD6, Emily, Franklin). The historic tropical cyclone outbreak this weekend was matched only by August 22, 1995, and August 15, 1893. #hurricanes

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Franklin, located over the eastern Caribbean Sea, on Tropical
Storm Gert, located several hundred miles east-southeast of the
northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Emily, located a
little over 1100 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization
in association with a broad area of low pressure located over the
central Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive
for development of this system, and a tropical depression or
tropical storm is likely to form before it reaches the western Gulf
of Mexico coastline on Tuesday. Interests in southern Texas and
northern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system as
tropical storm watches or warnings are likely to be issued later
today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms over the Cabo Verde Islands and portions
of the tropical eastern Atlantic are associated with a tropical
wave. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is
likely to form later this week while it moves west-northwestward
across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Emily are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Emily are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Franklin are issued under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Franklin are issued under WMO
header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi