Monday, June 19th blog from Jeff Masters and Bob Henson
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 6/19/2023, 1:25 pm
"TD 3: a rare June hurricane threat for the Caribbean
The system is predicted to intensify and threaten the Lesser Antilles Islands as Hurricane Bret by Thursday."
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2023/06/td-3-a-rare-june-hurricane-threat-for-the-caribbean/
The calendar says it's mid-June. The phase of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) reads El Niño. But despite these usually highly unfavorable factors for Atlantic hurricane activity, the tropical Atlantic is looking more like mid-August, thanks to sea surface temperatures that are record-warm — plus an unusual lack of wind shear. Not only do we have newly-formed Tropical Depression Three, but another tropical wave off the coast of Africa, 93L, has a 40% chance of development.
They discuss the track and intensity forecast for what is forecast to be a hurricane. |
1
In this thread:
Tropical Depression Three forms in the central Atlantic - Lesser Antilles should monitor the system -
Chris in Tampa,
6/19/2023, 1:20 pm- Bret nearing Lesser Antilles, forecast to impact parts of the islands later this evening (Thursday) and overnight - Chris in Tampa, 6/22/2023, 7:50 am
- Became Tropical Storm Bret at 5pm AST, Monday, June 19th - Chris in Tampa, 6/19/2023, 7:50 pm
- Monday, June 19th blog from Jeff Masters and Bob Henson - Chris in Tampa, 6/19/2023, 1:25 pm
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