it's up to 60% in 2 PM today
Posted by cypresstx on 9/30/2020, 3:58 pm
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 30 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A tropical wave located over the west-central Caribbean Sea is
expected to move westward over the next couple of days, and produce
a broad area of low pressure over the western Caribbean Sea by
Thursday night or Friday. Environmental conditions are forecast to
be conducive for some development thereafter, and a tropical
depression could form over the weekend while the system moves slowly
west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Pasch
43
In this thread:
Local FL Big Bend Mets forecasting possible Caribbean development in next 5 days - AlligatorPointer, 9/30/2020, 10:42 am
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