10% chance at 8pm on Tuesday
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/1/2017, 8:19 pm
Making sure it has some kind of percentage.

Gulf of Mexico satellite imagery:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/imagery/gmex.html



"Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Emily, located over the Atlantic Ocean well to the east
of Florida.

1. A small, non-tropical area of low pressure has formed in the
central Gulf of Mexico about 250 miles south of Pensacola, Florida.
Significant development of this system is not expected due to
strong upper-level winds and proximity to dry air.  The low is
forecast to move northeastward over the Big Bend area of Florida
late Wednesday or early Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. A tropical wave accompanied by a low pressure system is producing a
large area of cloudiness and disorganized shower activity several
hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some slow
development is possible during the next few days while the
disturbance moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. However, upper-level
winds are expected to become less conducive for development by the
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Blake"



NHC Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5



Still the wave way out there in the Atlantic. It's August, so it's time to start paying more attention to waves out there. (I haven't looked at this one much in particular, just in general.)

Atlantic satellite imagery:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html


From: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/
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Central GOMEX? - LawKat, 8/1/2017, 1:26 pm
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