2am EDT on Saturday, June 17: Caribbean and Atlantic systems up to 70% chance within 5 days
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 6/17/2017, 5:03 am
"Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Jun 17 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A tropical wave located about 1600 miles east-southeast of the southern Windward Islands is producing scattered showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance continues to show signs of organization, and some additional development is possible during the next couple of days before conditions become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. This system is expected to continue moving toward the west at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
2. A broad trough of low pressure is producing a large area of cloudiness and showers over most of Honduras and the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Conditions appear to be favorable for gradual development of this large disturbance while it moves slowly northwestward across the Yucatan Peninsula this weekend and into the south-central Gulf of Mexico early next week. Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely to spread over portions of Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, and western Cuba during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Forecaster Stewart"
From: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
Models for 92L in Atlantic: http://hurricanecity.com/models/models.cgi?basin=al&year=2017&storm=92&latestinvest=1&display=google_map&latestrun=1
Floater for 92L: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/92L/92L_floater.html
Wider Atlantic satellite views: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html
Bob Henson's blog from Friday: https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/two-named-storms-may-be-forming-atlantic |
167
In this thread:
2am EDT on Saturday, June 17: Caribbean and Atlantic systems up to 70% chance within 5 days - Chris in Tampa, 6/17/2017, 5:03 am Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.