| They accidentally called it a tropical storm once in the text below, but it is now once again a hurricane. Strengthening forecast. Track: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/175043.shtml?5day#contents NHC discussion: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT5+shtml/111447.shtml? Floater: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/15L/15L_floater.html Wider view: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/imagery/watl.html Radar (for later): http://www.weather.bm/radar.asp HURRICANE NICOLE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 200 PM AST TUE OCT 11 2016 ...NICOLE BECOMES A HURRICANE AGAIN, HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.3N 66.3W ABOUT 355 MI...575 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Hurricane Warning for Bermuda. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nicole was located near latitude 27.3 North, longitude 66.3 West. Nicole is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A northwest to north-northwest motion is expected today. A turn toward the north and an increase in forward speed is expected tonight, followed by a northeast turn on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Nicole is expected to approach Bermuda Wednesday night and pass near Bermuda Thursday morning. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next day or two. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is 982 mb (29.00 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in Bermuda. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to begin on Bermuda by Wednesday night, with tropical storm conditions beginning Wednesday afternoon. RAINFALL: Nicole is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over Bermuda through Thursday. SURF: Swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda during the next few days. These swells will create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. Please refer to products being issued by the Bermuda Weather Service. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown Recon: http://hurricanecity.com/recon/ |