NHC advisories likely to be started tonight (Tuesday) for 93L
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 9/13/2016, 9:08 pm
The best track data at 8pm EDT tonight indicated a 35 knot tropical storm: http://hurricanecity.com/models/ But it has yet to be named officially. Best track data remains unofficial, but they upgraded earlier positions in the day as well to tropical storm strength.
Floaters: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters.html
Advisories could start at 11pm EDT. It has not yet been renumbered in the best track system: http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/ There will be a "bal112016.dat" if/when upgraded.
"TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ian, located well to the east-southeast of Bermuda.
1. Surface observations, satellite images, and radar data indicate that an area of low pressure is located just inland near St. Augustine, Florida. This system continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms, with winds to tropical storm force along and just offshore of portions of the northeast Florida coast. This system has been maintaining its organization through the afternoon and early evening, and advisories will likely be initiated later this evening. The low is expected to move north-northwestward to northward at 10 to 15 mph tonight, near and parallel to the northeast coast of Florida. Strong gusty winds, some to tropical storm force, will continue over portions of the northeast Florida coast tonight, and heavy rains will continue to spread over central and northern Florida tonight and Wednesday. Some areas from northeast Florida to South Carolina could receive 3 to 6 inches of rainfall with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Please consult your local National Weather Service office for additional information on this system, including possible warnings. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
2. A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, located a couple of hundred miles east-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers. Slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next several days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are likely over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
Forecaster Stewart"
From: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5 |
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NHC advisories likely to be started tonight (Tuesday) for 93L - Chris in Tampa, 9/13/2016, 9:08 pm Post A Reply
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