Re: GFS likes next system exiting africa
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/27/2016, 4:05 pm
I see 12Z deviated back to around what it had for the first two runs on August 24th, which had it in the Bahamas. The rest of the time it had been east. Such a very long way out.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=atl&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn

It has definitely been rather persistent in its development of that one.

Euro develops it too:

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=atl&pkg=mslp_uv850

Though where it goes is beyond the range of what is available through that site. Models way out there are perhaps not too much better than guessing, but the Euro has demonstrated even in the not that long of a term, that it's fallible too. At least it has so far with 99L.
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GFS likes next system exiting africa - stevemc12, 8/27/2016, 3:31 pm
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