About European model data
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 5/23/2016, 6:50 am
European model data should appear at HurricaneCity within about 10 to 15 minutes of being posted on the ECMWF site. In the best performing models map the high resolution (HRES) Euro model will appear with the identifier ECMO. In the rest of the model system, additional Euro data will appear, including the high resolution model of course, along with the ensemble control member (ECME) and fifty Euro ensemble members. (EE01-EE50) Ensemble members are removed from the best performing models map, like we do for the GFS.

Euro data is only available for tropical depressions and higher, not for invests. Euro tropical cyclone track data is available through up to 10 days. Euro data at HurricaneCity will appear for the Atlantic, East Pacific and Cental Pacific.

This tropical cyclone track data is available for free on the ECMWF site ( http://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/datasets/public-wmo-and-acmad-datasets#description ), even for commercial use, because it is what they call WMO Essential. (basically, it's important data) That is why it can appear here.

The site will add Euro model data as it becomes available. The high resolution Euro, with just that model, comes out about an hour and a half before the ensemble file comes out. The ensemble member file contains the high resolution Euro, a control member and then fifty ensemble members.


More in-depth...


Here is how the system is currently designed to run:

0Z run of the HRES should appear at 7:05Z
(after having been posted at ECMWF at 6:55Z)

0Z run of the Ensemble/HRES should appear at 8:35Z
(after having been posted at ECMWF at 8:21Z)

12Z run of the HRES should appear at 19:05Z
(after having been posted at ECMWF at 18:55Z)

12Z run of the Ensemble/HRES should appear at 20:35Z
(after having been posted at ECMWF at 20:21Z)

Their model data comes out at exact times.

A check for available NHC model data at HurricaneCity will take place at :05 and :35 past every hour. The Euro system checks for data at :00 and :30 past the hour, but the way the system is currently designed, the NHC system will not actually integrate the Euro data and make it available at HurricaneCity until the check 5 minutes later. (It has to do with how the automatic tasks to run the model systems can only occur every 5 minutes.)

I mentioned it previously, but the charting has also been upgraded this year. Due to the massive amount of files generated, HurricaneCity doesn't have a model archive, but here is Alex from earlier this year, with ECMWF data integrated a few weeks ago when I finished that part of the ECMWF system.
http://tropicalatlantic.com/models/models.cgi?basin=al&year=2016&storm=01&display=model_error&error_type=average&latestrun=1&type=chart

The current model identifiers that I will be using are subject to change. The data doesn't come with identifiers. I didn't really want to make new ones in case they conflict with something in the future, so I used ones in NHC documentation ( http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/docs/ ) to represent the ECMWF model with a GTS (Global Telecommunication System) tracker. While the ECMWF tracker has apparently changed over the years, all this data still comes across the Global Telecommunication System. (Other models undergo changes and do not seem to often change the identifier they use.) NHC model data does not include ECMWF data in real time, for whatever reason, since the track data has been available for commercial use for at least half a decade. But at times the NHC does add ECMWF data at some later point, such as months or years later. Tropical cyclone track data is only available on the ECMWF site for 30 days. I only have Atlantic ECMWF data for Alex in January from the ECMWF site, when I saved the data, and the NHC has not released ECMWF data with a GTS tracker in a model file since 2011 from searching through the raw model data I have. If in the future I find that data added under the identifiers I am using now do not match the data that the NHC adds to some model files at a later point, I would change the identifiers to something else. (I would have to come up with my own.) That is one reason why I have some pages that will use Euro data from the ECMWF site have a note about which identifiers that data is placed under.

There was one bit of data from the ECWMF files that was not going to appear in the NHC system, the location of the maximum wind (coordinates), but I figured out that I could actually add that data. I still need to do that part.

Eventually my site will have ECMWF data worldwide, but I need to update my recon system more first before I get to that.
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