Invest 93L - Bay of Campeche
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 11/6/2015, 9:56 pm
Satellite:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/93L/93L_floater.html
"TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST FRI NOV 6 2015
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure
located over the Bay of Campeche remains disorganized. The low is
forecast to merge with a cold front over the western Gulf of Mexico
late Saturday, and significant development of this system is not
expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the eastern
Caribbean Sea across the Lesser Antilles into the Atlantic is
associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough and a
west-northwestward moving tropical wave. Development, if any,
during the next day or two should be slow to occur. However,
environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable
by early next week, when the system is forecast to be near
Hispaniola or the southeastern Bahamas. Regardless of development,
locally heavy rains are possible over the Lesser Antilles, the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during the next few
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent
$$
Forecaster Brown"
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
Recon tomorrow if needed:
"NOUS42 KNHC 061544
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1045 AM EST FRI 06 NOVEMBER 2015
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z NOVEMBER 2015
TCPOD NUMBER.....15-164
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA -GULF OF MEXICO-
FLIGHT ONE -TEAL 71-
A. 07/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01FFA INVEST
C. 07/1600Z
D. 22.5N 94.5W
E. 07/1745Z TO 07/2030Z
F. SFC TO 10,000FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: FIX AT 08/1800Z
NEAR 21.0N 94.0W.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER STORM REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
$$
JWP"
Models:
http://www.hurricanecity.com/models/data.cgi?basin=al&year=2015&storm=93&latestinvest=1&display=googlemap&latestrun=1 |
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