WU Henson/Masters Blog
Posted by
cypresstx on 10/1/2015, 12:51 pm
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3134
snippet
A key experimental tool for better forecasts missing for Joaquin
One potential aid to making better hurricane track and intensity forecasts is the use of real-time radar data from NOAA's two P-3 hurricane research aircraft. Over the past two years, these aircraft have flown numerous missions into Atlantic hurricanes and tropical storms, sending back real-time radar data that was ingested into the HWRF model, one of our top models for predicting both hurricane tracks and intensities. This real-time data was shown to measurably improve the forecasts from this model. Unfortunately, both NOAA P-3 aircraft are grounded this week for maintenance issues. One aircraft has undergoing a months-long process to have new wings put on, leaving just one P-3 for this year's hurricane season. Unfortunately, last Friday, de-lamination of that plane's lower fuselage radome, which was deep and to broad to fix at the Aircraft Operation Center's base in Tampa, was discovered. The shell has been trucked to Jacksonville for repair, and the repair will not be done until Friday at the earliest. However, NOAA's jet has been flying upper-level dropsonde missions around the clock, and data from these missions has been getting fed into the models for Joaquin. |
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