Re: Thank you Chris!
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/28/2015, 8:45 pm
I know very little about things actually, enough to write some of the weather software code to display the models and recon, but not so much about the weather. But we do have some great posters here that are very knowledgeable.  Of course the NHC is always the go to. And commenting on Gianmarc's post, the NHC does get it right so often, I guess we kind of take that for granted. I think the discussions could have been a little better. Looking back at the NHC discussions for the storm, they really highlighted the uncertainty in the track at days 4 and 5 often, but I wish they had talked more about how westward it was getting too and touched on that uncertainty sooner. They kept sticking with the same reasoning and unfortunately I think Dominica was unprepared. (although it should have been up to their government to issue a watch or warning) Especially since Danny did the same thing in track pretty much. In fact, looking back at that track it was supposed to be in the northern part of the islands and the track kept coming further south. In fact Danny went just north of Dominica, where it then dissipated. And also, it looks like they didn't issue a watch there for that storm either.
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NHC Website.... Did I miss something - Mark in PC Beach, 8/28/2015, 8:13 pm
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