A potential new threat to Hawaii - Invest 93C
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 8/20/2015, 12:22 pm
Floater:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/93C/93C_floater.html
View including Hawaii:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/imagery/cpac.html
Models:
Map: http://www.hurricanecity.com/models/data.cgi?basin=cp&year=2015&storm=93&latestinvest=1&display=googlemap&latestrun=1
Intensity: http://www.hurricanecity.com/models/data.cgi?basin=cp&year=2015&storm=93&latestinvest=1&display=wind_diagram&latestrun=1
Central Pacific Hurricane Center cover this region:
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/
Recon starts Saturday morning East coast time, Friday night Hawaiian time.
This has the potential to be a much more serious threat to parts of the Hawaiian Islands than the other two storms ever posed. It's early yet and the models have changed some regarding track. The intensity is increasing in some of the models though. This could potentially be a major hurricane impacting some of the Hawaiian Islands, but it is very early yet. (It's not even named.)
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
400 AM HST THU AUG 20 2015
For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.
1. A broad area of nearly stationary low pressure was located about 900 miles south-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii or about 1050 miles south-southeast of Honolulu. Environmental conditions will support development in this area during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours, high, 80 percent.
2. An area of nearly stationary pulsing convection was located about 1500 miles west-southwest of Honolulu. Environmental conditions may support slow development in this area during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 10 percent.
3. An area of nearly stationary persistent convection was located about 1200 miles southwest of Honolulu. This feature appeared to be embedded in the ITCZ, and should have little chance to develop.
* Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 0 percent.
Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through late Friday night. |
73
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A potential new threat to Hawaii - Invest 93C - Chris in Tampa, 8/20/2015, 12:22 pm Post A Reply
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