Re: now 40% & 50% chance over 2 & 5 days
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 6/13/2015, 7:14 pm
Wider view, Gulf of Mexico water vapor loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/mflash-wv.html
From: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html

72hr NHC surface forecast:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atlsfc72_latestBW_sm3.gif
From: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/

Steering:
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/dlmmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8&prod=dlm1&zoom=&time

Jeff Masters blog:
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

Latest post about 91L and then another about an anticyclonic (clockwise spinning) tornado. (contains some video from 1975 when Jim Leonard had captured the first known video of the phenomenon)

Here was the updated Plan of the Day:



NOUS42 KNHC 132000
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0400 PM EDT SAT 13 JUNE 2015
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
        VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z JUNE 2015
        TCPOD NUMBER.....15-019 AMENDMENT

I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS......MISSION ADDED
   1. SUSPECT AREA - NEAR YUCATAN PENINSULA
      FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71
      A. 14/1800Z
      B. AFXXX 01BBA INVEST
      C. 14/1530Z
      D. 22.0N 91.0W
      E. 14/1730Z TO 14/2100Z
      F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
      G. RESOURCES PERMITTING

   2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....CHANGED - IF
      SYSTEM DEVELOPS, CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES BEGINNING
      AT 15/1200Z.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
   1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
   2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....FIX HURRICANE CARLOS
      AT 15/1730Z NEAR 17.5N 103.5W.

$$
WJM



91L and Carlos on one image...

NASA zoom-able:

IR:
http://hurricanecity.com/custom-satellite/?satellite=GOES-E+CONUS&type=Animation&numframes=6&width=700&height=400&info=ir&zoom=4&palette=ir2.pal&quality=55&map=standard&mapcolor=black&lat=20&lon=-98

Water vapor:
http://hurricanecity.com/custom-satellite/?satellite=GOES-E+CONUS&type=Animation&numframes=6&width=700&height=400&info=wv&zoom=4&palette=wv2.pal&quality=55&map=standard&mapcolor=black&lat=20&lon=-98

Or Western Atlantic Imagery from NOAA:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/imagery/watl.html
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a little more rain for Texas? - sandy, 6/12/2015, 5:04 pm
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