Re: Has there ever been an El Nino year with a high number of Atlantic storms?
Posted by
BobbiStorm on 6/9/2015, 10:44 pm
It's a good question. It can only be answered in a complex way.
As Jim said... there is so much we don't know about El Nino. In truth very little was written in detail before the 1970s when it became a huge part of International law cases concerning arguements over fishing rights in South America.
http://www.ucar.edu/communications/gcip/m12anchovy/m12html.html
In the same years I was in college I was regulary discussing El Nino and it's ramifications to a case in International Law yet it was not mentioned in meteorology classes in any way.
In reality I bring this back to what Jim often does and that is discusses where hurricanes make landfall vs how many. He does factor "how many" into his mathematical equations often as "in busy seasons" vs "quiet seasons" but it's not all about El Nino.
It's one factor, a large factor, but there are other factors.
1998 was a busy year. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/1998.html
The excellent site from Tampa Bay NWS shows 1998 has an El Nino year. So was 1966. Obviously 1992 was an unforgettable year.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tbw/?n=tampabayelninopage
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