Typhoon Hafupit/ Ruby is just about to make land fall...
Posted by hanna on 12/6/2014, 8:39 am
or has.  UTC  is 13:39:32 as of this post.  Philippines: 9:36pm.






JMA
TY 1422 (HAGUPIT)
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 6 December 2014

Analyses at 06/12 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Very Strong
Center position N12°00'(12.0°)
E125°55'(125.9°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 935hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(95kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(135kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL110km(60NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more N500km(270NM)
S280km(150NM)

<Forecast for 07/00 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N12°00'(12.0°)
E124°30'(124.5°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(90kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65m/s(130kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL200km(110NM)

<Forecast for 07/12 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N12°25'(12.4°)
E123°00'(123.0°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 945hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
Storm warning area ALL240km(130NM)

<Forecast for 08/12 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N12°55'(12.9°)
E120°20'(120.3°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 955hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(80kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(115kt)
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)
Storm warning area ALL310km(170NM)

<Forecast for 09/12 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N13°00'(13.0°)
E118°00'(118.0°)
Direction and speed of movement W 10km/h(6kt)
Central pressure 955hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 40m/s(80kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(115kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
Storm warning area ALL410km(220NM)

JTWC
WTPN31 PGTW 060900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 22W (HAGUPIT) WARNING NR 022    
  01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   ---
  WARNING POSITION:
  060600Z --- NEAR 12.1N 126.6E
    MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
    POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
    POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
  PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

  RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N 126.6E
   ---
  FORECASTS:
  12 HRS, VALID AT:
  061800Z --- 12.4N 125.3E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
   ---
  24 HRS, VALID AT:
  070600Z --- 12.8N 124.1E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
   ---
  36 HRS, VALID AT:
  071800Z --- 13.2N 122.8E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS
   ---
  EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
  48 HRS, VALID AT:
  080600Z --- 13.7N 121.7E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
   ---
  72 HRS, VALID AT:
  090600Z --- 14.4N 119.2E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
   ---
  LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
   ---
  96 HRS, VALID AT:
  100600Z --- 14.0N 116.7E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
   ---
  120 HRS, VALID AT:
  110600Z --- 13.2N 113.8E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   ---
REMARKS:
060900Z POSITION NEAR 12.2N 126.3E.
TYPHOON 22W (HAGUPIT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
060600Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z, 062100Z, 070300Z AND
070900Z.//
NNNN

Navy


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Typhoon Hafupit/ Ruby is just about to make land fall... - hanna, 12/6/2014, 8:39 am
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