20W.Typhoon NUROI, 97W.INVEST, 21E.VANCE & 94E.INVEST
Posted by hanna on 11/2/2014, 10:30 am
20W.Typhoon NUROI will become a Super Typhoon.



TY 1420 (NURI)
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 2 November 2014

Analyses at 02/12 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Violent
Center position N17°10'(17.2°)
E132°30'(132.5°)
Direction and speed of movement N 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 910hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(105kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 75m/s(150kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL150km(80NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more SE500km(270NM)
NW330km(180NM)

<Forecast for 03/12 UTC>
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N19°35'(19.6°)
E133°35'(133.6°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 910hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(105kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 75m/s(150kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)
Storm warning area ALL300km(160NM)

<Forecast for 04/12 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N22°30'(22.5°)
E136°00'(136.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NE 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 925hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(95kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(135kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
Storm warning area ALL430km(230NM)

<Forecast for 05/12 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N25°25'(25.4°)
E136°55'(136.9°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 410km(220NM)
Storm warning area ALL540km(290NM)









97W.INVEST
I think most of the storm is west of the satellite image but I could be wrong.



21E.VANCE

WTPN33 PHNC 021000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 21E (VANCE) WARNING NR 013    
  01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   ---
  WARNING POSITION:
  020600Z --- NEAR 10.6N 105.9W
    MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
    POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
    POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
  PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N 105.9W
   ---
  FORECASTS:
  12 HRS, VALID AT:
  021800Z --- 12.0N 108.2W
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS
   ---
  24 HRS, VALID AT:
  030600Z --- 13.7N 110.0W
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 10 KTS
   ---
  36 HRS, VALID AT:
  031800Z --- 15.5N 110.7W
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS
   ---
  EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
  48 HRS, VALID AT:
  040600Z --- 17.1N 110.7W
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS
   ---
  72 HRS, VALID AT:
  050600Z --- 18.9N 109.9W
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS
   ---
  LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
   ---
  96 HRS, VALID AT:
  060600Z --- 20.5N 109.5W
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
  VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
   ---
  120 HRS, VALID AT:
  070600Z --- 22.0N 111.5W
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   ---
REMARKS:
021000Z POSITION NEAR 11.1N 106.7W.
TROPICAL STORM 21E (VANCE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 510 NM
SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
020600Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021600Z, 022200Z, 030400Z AND
031000Z.
//
NNNN






94E.INVEST

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20W.Typhoon NUROI, 97W.INVEST, 21E.VANCE & 94E.INVEST - hanna, 11/2/2014, 10:30 am
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