| It's starting to look a little more organized. It's most likely to curve away into the Atlantic, regardless of whether it develops, and the models have it mostly east of Bermuda and Canada right now. "TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Since upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive, some gradual development of this disturbance is possible while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. Afterwards, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent. 2. A low pressure system, the remnants of Tropical Storm Hanna, is located over the western Gulf of Honduras and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The low is expected to move inland over Belize by early Wednesday, and significant redevelopment is unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Forecaster Pasch" http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5 Satellite: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/95L/95L_floater.html Models: http://www.hurricanecity.com/models/data.cgi?basin=al&year=2014&storm=95&latestinvest=1&display=googlemap&latestrun=1 |