It turns out it seems to be curving closer after all
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 10/19/2014, 4:04 am
CPHC:
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tcpages/?storm=ANA



This image is from me, with the yellow line I drew indicating approximate movement over past 8 and a half hours as of shortly before 4am EDT. (10pm HST - Honolulu Standard Time)





HURRICANE ANA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22B
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014
900 PM HST SAT OCT 18 2014

...HURRICANE ANA MARCHING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND WILL PASS CLOSE
TO KAUAI COUNTY OVERNIGHT...



SUMMARY OF 900 PM HST...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 159.3W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM S OF LIHUE HAWAII
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU


A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE MAINLY
NEAR THE ISLAND OF NIIHAU DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
AREA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 900 PM HST...0700 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 159.3 WEST. ANA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/H. A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING...ALONG WITH A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ANA WILL PASS ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF KAUAI TONIGHT...95 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NIIHAU SUNDAY MORNING...
AND ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH OF NIHOA SUNDAY EVENING. A GRADUAL TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
BE WELL WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH
ANA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER KAUAI COUNTY
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...MAINLY NEAR NIIHAU AND WATERS TO THE SOUTH.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER OAHU TONIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS PRODUCED BY ANA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST OF
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS TONIGHT. SURF PRODUCED BY THESE SWELLS
COULD POTENTIALLY BE DAMAGING ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHEASTERN SHORELINES AND WILL PERSIST ALONG MOST ISLANDS THROUGH
SUNDAY.

RAINFALL...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ANA WILL
MOVE OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT AND WILL REMAIN
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE ISLAND CHAIN ON SUNDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD/R BALLARD
147
In this thread:
Hurricane Ana, HI is very lucky. - hanna, 10/18/2014, 9:12 pm
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.