It will be stronger at 11pm
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 10/14/2014, 10:15 pm
Recon from the just completed mission indicates it continues to strengthen rapidly.

The pressure is likely around 954 mb now. (Sonde was 957mb with 27 knots of wind which would likely make it about 954 or 955mb.)

Highest SFMR Peak (10s Avg.) Sfc. Wind was 109 knots (~ 125.4 mph). That is an estimate.

Highest measured surface wind, a momentary gust, from a sonde was: 112 kts (128.9 mph)

Highest wind on the way down from a sonde was 130 kts (149.6 mph) at 916mb and 850mb levels. The 925mb height was 371m (1,217 ft) for comparison.

Non updating image of just completed mission...

With previous vortex messages plotted and the slightly misleading 957mb vortex icon. (The vortex read what the sonde said, you have to interpret that it missed the actual center slightly.) So not weakening.



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Hurricane Gonzalo forecast to hit Bermuda as a strong hurricane - Chris in Tampa, 10/13/2014, 10:36 pm
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