Re: wicked Vongfong
Posted by hanna on 10/8/2014, 11:27 am
Thank you for the update, great read.  I knew Vongfong was impressive. Good news, except for I am sure some very small islands, this is a fish so far.  Bad news it appears that it will go between Amami Island & Oshima, Kikaijima Island.  Sorry google won't let me post the link for some reason.  The estimated winds will be between 150kts/120.832mph & 85kts/97.816mph.  A lot of people are going to be effected by this.





TY 1419 (VONGFONG)
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 8 October 2014

Analyses at 08/12 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Violent
Center position N18°25'(18.4°)
E131°00'(131.0°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 10km/h(6kt)
Central pressure 900hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 60m/s(115kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 85m/s(165kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL200km(110NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more N500km(270NM)
S330km(180NM)

<Forecast for 09/00 UTC>
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N18°55'(18.9°)
E130°25'(130.4°)
Direction and speed of movement NW Slowly
Central pressure 900hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 60m/s(115kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 85m/s(165kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL300km(160NM)

<Forecast for 09/12 UTC>
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N19°40'(19.7°)
E130°25'(130.4°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slowly
Central pressure 905hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(110kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 80m/s(155kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)
Storm warning area ALL330km(180NM)

<Forecast for 10/12 UTC>
IntensityViolent
Center position of probability circle N22°30'(22.5°)
E130°55'(130.9°)
Direction and speed of movement N 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 915hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(105kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 75m/s(150kt)
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)
Storm warning area ALL390km(210NM)

<Forecast for 11/12 UTC>
IntensityVery Strong
Center position of probability circle N25°55'(25.9°)
E131°25'(131.4°)
Direction and speed of movement N 15km/h(9kt)
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 300km(160NM)
Storm warning area ALL440km(240NM)

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Almost a super Typhoon Vongfong, in Asia their typhoons must reach cat 5 status... - hanna, 10/7/2014, 10:15 am
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