on NESDIS
Posted by
cypresstx on 9/12/2014, 9:13 am
they posted a new, blue box on south FL at 12:52Z here http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/ graphic should follow shortly
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/atmosphere/precip/spe/activecontent/201409121252.html
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
FLZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 09/12/14 1252Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1230Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU:-0752Z DMSP SSMIS:0957Z NASA TRMM 1000Z
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LOCATION...S FLORIDA...
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ATTN WFOS...MFL...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...SURFACE LOW DRIFTING SOUTH AND RESULTING IN PULSING COOL TOP
CONVECTION AND LOCALLY HVY RAINS...SHEAR AND SOME MID/HIGH LEVEL DRY
AIR INHIBITING PERSISTENT HVY RAINS...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CONTINUED CONFLICTING SIGNALS ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND ANALYSIS FOR THIS SYSTEM MAINTAINING HVY RAIN OVER ANYONE SPOT
FOR MORE THAN A FEW HRS. BEST ESTIMATE FOR SURFACE LOW IN PALM BEACH
COUNTY JUST TO THE WEST OF KPBI AND NEAR NORTH TIP OF ENHANCED CLOUD TOPS
THAT HAVE RECENTLY PULSED UP WITH COOLING CLOUD TOPS TO NEAR THE 12Z RAOB
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL TEMP OF -64C. STILL QUITE A BIT OF HIGH GREATER THAN 2"
PRECIPITABLE WATER MOISTURE OVER THE AREA AND TO THE EAST AND SHIFTING
WEST..SO PLENTY OF TOTAL MOISTURE AND DEPTH OF MOISTURE TO AROUND 600MB
TO PRODUCE MODERATE TO HVY/BRIEF EXCESSIVE BEFORE CELL/CLUSTERS PULSE
DOWN...LIKE RECENTLY WITH CLOUD TOPS IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY. THERE WAS
CONTINUED DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT ON GOES WATER VAPOR AND THAT LOOKS TO
BE MOSTLY ABOVE 600MB WHICH CAN CONTINUE TO LIMIT ITS POTENTIAL..AND
THIS SHOWING ITSELF WITH GOES SOUNDER LIS BECOMING INCREASINGLY STABLE E
CENTRAL FL TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE AREA AND EXPANDING SOUTH. ISOLATED SPOTS
WITH RAPID COOLING TO NEAR EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL CAN EASILY GET 2"/HR..BUT IT
APPEARS NOTHING HAS STAYED OVER ANY ONE SPOT FOR MORE THAN AN HR OR TWO.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1245-1545Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...CONTINUED PULSING CONVECTION AS SURFACE LOW
SLOWLY DRIFTS WEST AND SW ACROSS SOUTHERN FL THIS PERIOD. STILL MOIST
WITH ABOVE NORMAL BUT BELOW 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE CLIMO...BUT STILL
ABLE TO PRODUCE SPOTTY EXCESSIVE AND ISOLATED HVY FOR GENERALLY BRIEF
PERIODS OF TIME MOSTLY S AND SW OF SURFACE LOW. SEE GRAPHIC FOR AREA
OF POSSIBLE HVY RAINS THIS MORNING AHEAD OF AND WITH WEAK SURFACE LOW.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 2638 8039 2564 8036 2517 8092 2579 8128
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