Percentage chance long term has increased as of 8pm EDT on Thursday
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 9/11/2014, 8:29 pm
For the first time they are talking about its longer term chances could be better. Short term is down.
"TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2014
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Six, located several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde
Islands.
1. Satellite, radar and surface observations show that the area of
low pressure centered over the northwestern Bahamas is moving
slowly west-southwestward toward southern Florida. The shower
activity associated with the low has not become any better
organized during the past few hours, and strong upper-level winds
as well as the interaction with the Florida peninsula will likely
inhibit development tonight and Friday. Once the low moves westward
over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico during the weekend, conditions
could become a little more conducive for tropical cyclone formation.
Regardless of development, this low will bring locally heavy rains
to portions of southern Florida and the Florida Keys during the next
couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Six are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Six are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.
Forecaster Avila"
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5 |
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