And now the NHC is back to this one (20% through 5 days as of 8pm on Saturday)
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/16/2014, 11:21 pm
"TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT AUG 16 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity has developed in association with
a broad area of low pressure located about 1000 miles west of the
Cape Verde Islands. Some gradual development of this system is
possible during the next few days while it begins to move slowly
westward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Brennan"

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

Satellite:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/imagery/catl.html
203
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Disturbance south of Cape Verde - Jake, 8/13/2014, 6:05 pm
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