Update HURRICANE ISELLE
Posted by hanna on 8/7/2014, 2:45 pm
HURRICANE ISELLE:  From  NWS

Hurricane Iselle taking aim at Big Island of Hawaii

Hurricane Iselle continues on a path toward Hawaii as a Category 1 storm, with max. sustained winds near 90 mph. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, but Iselle is now expected to be a hurricane as it passes near or over the Big Island Thursday night, before passing just south of the smaller islands of Hawaii on Friday. A Hurricane Warning is currently in place for the Big Island.




I have no idea how to decipher this image but I figured someone here could do so and explain what I am seeing.

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/pages/sigmet.php#QUEBEC

For more images charts etc... http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tc_graphics/latest_sst.php?stormid=EP092014

Central Pacific Hurricane Center

5 Day Track for ISELLE

WTPA23 PHFO 071445
TCMCP3

HURRICANE ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092014
1500 UTC THU AUG 07 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR KAUAI COUNTY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...MOLOKAI...LANAI...
 AND KAHOOLAWE.
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ISELLE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 150.6W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  10SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  20SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE  50SE  20SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 190SE 190SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 150.6W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 149.8W

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.1N 152.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  60SE  20SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.8N 155.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  10SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  20SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.5N 158.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  25SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.0N 161.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 22.5N 165.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  10SE   0SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 24.4N 171.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 27.0N 177.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 150.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z

$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tc_graphics/latest_w.php?stormid=EP092014

This is a 7 day forecast for Oahu this gives one an idea how they are expected to fair.  If you scroll out on the topographic map you can go to the big island etc...
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-157.85289&lat=21.30124
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HI hold on and stay safe 09E. HURRICANE ISELLE & 10E. HURRICANE JULIO/JULY update. - hanna, 8/7/2014, 11:14 am
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