Typhoon RAMMASUN & TS MATMO
Posted by hanna on 7/18/2014, 1:34 pm
Super Typhoon Rammasun (Glenda) bears down on southern China  By Euan McKirdy, CNN
updated 11:03 AM EDT, Fri July 18, 2014

Hong Kong (CNN) -- After wreaking damage on the Philippines over Tuesday and Wednesday, a newly intensified Typhoon Rammasun is bearing down on Hainan and Guangdong provinces in southern China.

The storm, which was downgraded as it passed over the Philippines, gained strength again over the South China Sea and is now battering Hainan, with its inner eye wall hugging the island's coast.

Now categorized by the China Meteorological Administration as a super typhoon, Rammasun made landfall on the island province of Hainan at around 1.30 p.m (1.30 a.m Eastern) Friday after veering westwards.

Super typhoons are categorized as having sustained winds of 150 mph (241 km/h) or higher.

The Administration issued a 'red' typhoon warning, the highest of four color-coded warning levels. It is the first time this year the signal has been raised. Authorities in the region are on high alert.

"Its intensity when landing will reach force 15 to 16 (50 to 55m/s)," the bulletin said, prior to the storm reaching Hainan.

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) based in Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, tracked the typhoon as moving in a northwesterly direction, passing over the northern tip of Hainan and the Leizhou peninsula. The Center defines a super typhoon as having sustained winds of 130 kt; as of 11 a.m. local time (11 p.m Eastern), it was monitoring winds at 125 kt.

At 2 p.m local time (2 a.m ET) Hong Kong's government observatory estimated the super typhoon to be around 242 miles (390 km) southwest of the city. It was not expected to affect the city beyond strong winds and rain.

Should Rammasun hit the mainland as expected, the storm is expected to produce strong gales -- which may top 93 mph (150 km/h) -- heavy rain and tidal surges.

Given the rapid escalation in the storm's strength -- from a category one to a category five -- it is unclear how comprehensive preparations for this storm have been in the areas likely to be affected the most.

Shipping in the region has been suspended, as have some flights, including in Hainan, which is a popular holiday destination. Trains in Guangdong bound for Hainan have been halted in the provincial capital Guangzhou, and Hainan's high-speed railway has also had operations suspended, according to China's state-run news agency.

China's National Meteorological Center also said that inland areas of some provinces, including Yunnan, Hubei and Henan would experience rainstorms. The NMC warned of flooding in cities and landslides in mountain areas.

The typhoon caused 38 deaths in the Philippines, as well as damage to property and infrastructure across Luzon, the largest island in the archipelago.

James Reynolds, a freelance journalist and videographer who was in Legazpi when the typhoon made landfall in the Philippines, said in a twitter post that Rammasun looked "immensely powerful -- one of the strongest I've seen in the (South) China Sea for a long time."

Only two other super typhoons have ever hit China, Saomai in 2006 and Marge in 1973. Saomai, registered as a once-a-century typhoon, was the most powerful typhoon ever to have made landfall over mainland China. This storm, says CNN's Ivan Cabrera, could top both of these.

The existing typhoon record of 78.9 m/s was observed at Dalaoshan, Hong Kong, on 1 September 1962

http://www.cnn.com/2014/07/17/world/asia/typhoon-rammasun-china-landfall/

From the JMA

TY 1409 (RAMMASUN)
Issued at 15:45 UTC, 18 July 2014

Analyses at 18/15 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Very Strong
Center position N20°35'(20.6°)
E109°50'(109.8°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 940hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(90kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 65m/s(130kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL130km(70NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more E330km(180NM)
W220km(120NM)

<Forecast for 19/03 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N21°40'(21.7°)
E107°50'(107.8°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 945hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60m/s(120kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL220km(120NM)

<Forecast for 19/15 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N22°20'(22.3°)
E106°25'(106.4°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15km/h(7kt)
Central pressure 985hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)

<Forecast for 20/12 UTC>
Intensity -
TD
Center position of probability circle N23°25'(23.4°)
E104°05'(104.1°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 10km/h(6kt)
Central pressure 1002hPa
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)




MATMO according to the JTWC is expected to become a cat 3 Typhoon and for now hit near Luodong Twp, Taiwan not good. The JMA has for now heading toward Luzon island in the Philippines

TS 1410 (MATMO)
Issued at 16:05 UTC, 18 July 2014
Analyses at 18/15 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N10°50'(10.8°)
E132°55'(132.9°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 1000hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more ALL220km(120NM)

<Forecast for 19/15 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N13°00'(13.0°)
E130°35'(130.6°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 25m/s(50kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(70kt)
Radius of probability circle 130km(70NM)

<Forecast for 20/12 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N15°40'(15.7°)
E128°40'(128.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 20km/h(10kt)
Central pressure 985hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 30m/s(55kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40m/s(80kt)
Radius of probability circle 200km(110NM)
Storm warning area ALL260km(140NM)

<Forecast for 21/12 UTC>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N18°35'(18.6°)
E125°20'(125.3°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 975hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Radius of probability circle 390km(210NM)
Storm warning area ALL480km(260NM)


From the JWTC
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01C.ONE, Typhoon RAMMASUN, 10W.MATMO, 94W.INVEST, 96W.INVEST & 97S.INVEST - hanna, 7/17/2014, 6:24 pm
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