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Re: EURO kicking butt

Posted by Gianmarc on 9/1/2011, 10:20 am

Hot water is only one ingredient. We have 40 kts of shear over much of the GoM and the Yucatan Channel right now. You can put a storm over a hot tub in that kind of shear and you will not have a hurricane. People put too much weight on SSTs--what will the upper-level dynamics be? What sort of upper-level support will a storm encounter? How much dry air is in its path? Those are more important questions than water temps to me, because ultimately those are more critical factors in a storm's ability to develop and intensify.

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EURO kicking butt - Zephyr, 9/1/2011, 8:08 am

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