TY 0914 (Choi-wan), Issued at 00:45 UTC, 16 September 2009
Posted by hanna on 9/16/2009, 1:26 pm
Analyses at 16/00 UTC  
Scale  Large  Intensity  Very Strong, Center position  N19°20'(19.3°), E141°35'(141.6°), Direction and speed of movement  W 10km/h(6kt), Central pressure  915hPa, Maximum wind speed near the center  50m/s(100kt), Maximum wind gust speed  70m/s(140kt), Area of 50kt winds or more Wide 200km(110NM) Area of 30kt winds or more  Wide 500km(270NM)

Forecast for 17/00 UTC  
Intensity  Very Strong Center position of probability circle  N21°50'(21.°) E139°20'(139.3°), Direction and speed of movement  NW 15km/h(9kt), Central pressure  915hPa, Maximum wind speed near the center  50m/s(100kt), Maximum wind gust speed  70m/s(140kt), Radius of probability circle 130m(70NM), Storm warning area  Wide 330km(180NM)

Forecast for 1800UTC
Intensity  Very Strong, Center position of probability circle  N25°25'(25.4°), E139°20'(139.3°), Direction and speed of movement  NNW 15km/h(7kt), Central pressure  915hPa, Maximum wind speed near the center  50m/s(100kt), Maximum wind gust speed  70m/s(140kt), Radius of probability circle  200km(110NM), Storm warning area  Wide 370km(200NM)

Forecast for 19/00 UTC
Intensity  Very Strong, Center position of probability circle  N30°25'(30.4°), E142°30'(142.5°), Direction and speed of movement  NNE 25km/h(14kt), Central pressure 935hPa, Maximum wind speed near the center 45m/s(85kt), Maximum wind gust speed  60m/s(120kt), Radius of probability circle 460km(250NM), Storm warning area  Wide 600km(325NM)

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/0914l.html


I think Hong Kong will be ok, I am hoping for good reporting on for Iwo_To and Chichi_Jima and somehow they manage to be spared the worse part.

I found radar and satellites at NWS

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?zoneid=GUZ004

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/guam/GUAMIR.JPG
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TY 0914 (Choi-wan), Issued at 00:45 UTC, 16 September 2009 - hanna, 9/16/2009, 1:26 pm
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