Models which had forecast more southerly and westerly track looking better now
Posted by
jack ruby on 9/2/2009, 7:15 am
| Just an opinion, but as Ericka struggles to organize in the short term, the ULL to her northwest looks to be filling in some, and expanding high pressure to her north, looks to escort Ericka on a pretty consistent WNW path to very near Puerto Rico and then on into the southern Bahamas. These conditions would also seem to call for a stronger storm than has been previously anticipated by many models (I think Ericka will definitely be a hurricane in the southern Bahamas). Down the road there should be lingering weakness along the Atlantic Seaboard, not enough I think to sweep Ericka northward, but perhaps just enough to get her to between a WNW to NW heading. Noticed that a recent Canadian run had her even further south than that toward S Fl at landfall. Not willing to go that far south at this point, think central Fl would still be a better bet. Just my opinion. |
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Models which had forecast more southerly and westerly track looking better now - jack ruby, 9/2/2009, 7:15 am Post A Reply
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