Danny Analysis
Posted by
Jake on 8/28/2009, 5:43 pm
Danny remains a sheared cyclone with most of the strong weather on the eastside. A small upper level high has formed just to the east of the COC, this is still not a favorable position, as the COC/swirl remains exposed due to southerly shear.
Danny should hold its current strength or slightly increase another 5-10kts, before westerly shear increases 20-40kkts, as an unsually strong shortwave trough ejects ENE towards the Carolina coast. This is now forcing a northerly movement, although lastest visible shows a more NNE motion. This NNE-NE motion should get established tonight or early saturday afternoon with a gradual increase in forward speed and keep the weak center off shore the eastcoast. I'am quite confident that, most of the strongest weather will never rap around the westside during his closed approach to the eastcoast. I would drop the current watches/warnings.
I would advise everyone to keep an eye on 94L, as this system shouldn't be a fish storm and possibly become a big cane in a few days. |
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