Danny Thoughts
Posted by UMRSMASOrtt on 8/26/2009, 10:47 am
1. Going with an offshore track. Ran MM5 and an office mate ran ARW overnight. All 4 MM5s and the ARW are offshore, including New England

2. The models that do strike land have the center too far SW

3. Model upper wind pattern is wrong. The UL moved SW not NE

4. Probably no significant intensification until this interacts with the trough. Some chance of a hurricane once it starts accelerating NNE

Derek Ortt
http://www.nwhhc.com
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Danny Thoughts - UMRSMASOrtt, 8/26/2009, 10:47 am
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CaneTalk: Danny Thoughts
Danny Thoughts
Posted by UMRSMASOrtt on 8/26/2009, 10:47 am
1. Going with an offshore track. Ran MM5 and an office mate ran ARW overnight. All 4 MM5s and the ARW are offshore, including New England

2. The models that do strike land have the center too far SW

3. Model upper wind pattern is wrong. The UL moved SW not NE

4. Probably no significant intensification until this interacts with the trough. Some chance of a hurricane once it starts accelerating NNE

Derek Ortt
http://www.nwhhc.com
152
In this thread:
Danny Thoughts - UMRSMASOrtt, 8/26/2009, 10:47 am
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