Re: Bill thoughts
Posted by AugustineGirl on 8/19/2009, 7:21 pm
From the:
000
WTNT43 KNHC 192031
TCDAT3
HURRICANE BILL DISCUSSION NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
500 PM AST WED AUG 19 2009

"SOME OF THE MODELS...SUCH AS THE GFS.....NOW SHOW A SLIGHTLY STRONGER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND A
SLOWER MID-LATITUDE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES.
IF THIS SOLUTION IS CORRECT...BILL WOULD BE ABLE TO MOVE A LITTLE
FARTHER TO THE WEST BEFORE TURNING TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST.
THERE HAS BEEN A SMALL WESTWARD SHIFT IN MOST OF THE AFTERNOON
MODEL GUIDANCE...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SHIFTED IN THAT
DIRECTION.  THIS IS A GOOD TIME TO POINT OUT THAT THERE IS A LOT OF
UNCERTAINTY IN THE LONG-RANGE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST AND ONE
SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK AT THOSE TIME PERIODS.  "

My question is how far west and what if the ridge blocks Bill? Is that possible?!
67
In this thread:
Bill thoughts - UMRSMASOrtt, 8/19/2009, 2:11 pm
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.