Re: Bill thoughts
Posted by
AugustineGirl on 8/19/2009, 7:21 pm
From the: 000 WTNT43 KNHC 192031 TCDAT3 HURRICANE BILL DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032009 500 PM AST WED AUG 19 2009
"SOME OF THE MODELS...SUCH AS THE GFS.....NOW SHOW A SLIGHTLY STRONGER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND A SLOWER MID-LATITUDE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. IF THIS SOLUTION IS CORRECT...BILL WOULD BE ABLE TO MOVE A LITTLE FARTHER TO THE WEST BEFORE TURNING TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. THERE HAS BEEN A SMALL WESTWARD SHIFT IN MOST OF THE AFTERNOON MODEL GUIDANCE...AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SHIFTED IN THAT DIRECTION. THIS IS A GOOD TIME TO POINT OUT THAT THERE IS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE LONG-RANGE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST AND ONE SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK AT THOSE TIME PERIODS. "
My question is how far west and what if the ridge blocks Bill? Is that possible?! |
67
In this thread:
Bill thoughts -
UMRSMASOrtt,
8/19/2009, 2:11 pm- Re: Bill thoughts - jimw, 8/19/2009, 7:20 pm
- Re: Bill thoughts - Chucktowner, 8/19/2009, 5:38 pm
- Re: Bill thoughts - AugustineGirl, 8/19/2009, 7:21 pm
- Agreed n/t - AugustineGirl, 8/19/2009, 7:17 pm
- Re: Bill thoughts - Cape_Fear_NC, 8/19/2009, 7:04 pm
- Re: Bill thoughts - Fred, 8/19/2009, 5:05 pm
- Re: Bill thoughts - BobbiStorm, 8/19/2009, 2:26 pm
- Re: Bill thoughts - aquaRN, 8/19/2009, 2:23 pm
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