Joe B's Latest Update from the Pro Site
Posted by snowmanbos on 8/19/2009, 1:35 pm
Here is how I interpret Joe's latest 1PM update:
The GFS is further west and seems to be moving this way 30 to 40 miles each run.
The UKMET is not moving since it is crossing 70W
at 27N
Joe is thinking 40N 70W as a borderline Major Hurricane, the GFS will correct, this position is for Sunday AM.
Trof #1 is being fought off by Bill. It has stopped and not moving North of Bill.
A lot of potential Risk for New Englanders in particular the Cape Cod area.
The water is warm and it will not weaken as did Gloria and Bob, Belle as they were more close to the coast and SST were down. In this case Bill approaches from the South in full force with warm water all the way to 40N, similar to the approach of the 1938 hurricane.

Big model battle going on...the UKMET is at 31N 71W at Sat AM. with a West of North component. This model has a hit on Cape Cod.  The track Joe has spares Cape Cod from the worst, but still get a hurricane. Could hit Canada with the worst storm since Juan.



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Joe B's Latest Update from the Pro Site - snowmanbos, 8/19/2009, 1:35 pm
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