Thoughts on Atlantic
Posted by
UMRSMASOrtt on 8/12/2009, 7:40 pm
1. Ana should never become more than a low-end TS. Environment too marginal with shear and dry air.
2. Ana is not much of a threat to land. Worst case would be a low end TS for the northern Leewards, but this is not very likely.
3. Watch the one behind. This likely will be a significant hurricane in the Atlantic next week. Too soon to say if there will be a direct hit on the Lesser Antilles, but monitor it if you live there. By significant hurricane, I am saying at least 80KT
4. Do not focus on long range model forecasts... they are prone to such error that I wish they were not made public
Derek Ortt
http://www.nwhhc.com |
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